Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.009760 0.011590 0.013817 0.016777 0.020687 0.025794 0.033178
2025-08-24 0.007140 0.009135 0.011845 0.015943 0.022283 0.032304 0.050804
2025-08-31 0.006048 0.008139 0.011205 0.016309 0.025262 0.041973 0.081214
2025-09-07 0.005149 0.007167 0.010281 0.015830 0.026520 0.049323 0.115860
2025-09-14 0.004460 0.006362 0.009416 0.015149 0.027057 0.055534 0.157683
2025-09-21 0.004038 0.005900 0.009003 0.015141 0.028930 0.066324 0.239439
2025-09-28 0.003803 0.005696 0.008981 0.015860 0.032755 0.086161 0.441140
2025-10-05 0.003695 0.005686 0.009295 0.017353 0.039349 0.124047 1.136618
2025-10-12 0.003501 0.005495 0.009229 0.017991 0.044020 0.163259 3.045851
2025-10-19 0.003243 0.005157 0.008818 0.017699 0.045693 0.191831 7.614906
2025-10-26 0.003060 0.004935 0.008608 0.017859 0.049088 0.240871 43.937674
2025-11-02 0.002861 0.004662 0.008253 0.017554 0.050659 0.283328 1148.849218
2025-11-09 0.002603 0.004272 0.007642 0.016543 0.049461 0.305964 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002384 0.003942 0.007125 0.015705 0.048724 0.336877 NaN
2025-11-23 0.002274 0.003813 0.007032 0.016063 0.053717 0.475220 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002124 0.003587 0.006691 0.015593 0.054482 0.564953 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001977 0.003357 0.006313 0.014926 0.053854 0.632769 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001883 0.003228 0.006154 0.014918 0.056990 0.852689 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001836 0.003190 0.006206 0.015622 0.065260 1.519239 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001827 0.003229 0.006452 0.017085 0.081082 4.347624 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001777 0.003177 0.006461 0.017708 0.092125 11.697865 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001694 0.003046 0.006248 0.017423 0.095075 22.213897 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001635 0.002962 0.006151 0.017580 0.102900 88.439602 NaN